Economic Growth and Renewable Energy Policies in India: An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship between Energy and Growth (2004–2024)

Mamon Adam Maarof ORCID

    Received: 17 March 2026; Revised: 7 May 2026; Accepted: 12 May 2026; Published: 22 May 2026

    Abstract

    This study examines the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in India over the period 2004–2024 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, incorporating key macroeconomic variables including government expenditure, foreign direct investment, population growth, and inflation. The results reveal a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables, indicating that renewable energy consumption has a negative and statistically significant impact on economic growth in the long run, which may be attributed to adjustment costs associated with the transition toward cleaner energy systems, while government expenditure also shows a negative effect and population growth contributes positively to economic performance; in contrast, foreign direct investment and inflation do not exhibit significant long-run effects. Overall, the findings suggest that the relationship between renewable energy and economic growth in India is complex and shaped by structural and policy-related factors, and from an environmental perspective, the expansion of renewable energy can contribute to reducing carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions and supporting long-term sustainability despite potential short-term economic trade-offs. In addition, the short-run dynamics indicate temporary adjustments toward equilibrium following shocks in the system, reinforcing the importance of gradual policy implementation and supportive institutional frameworks to enhance the effectiveness of renewable energy policies in promoting sustainable economic development in India. Overall, the study highlights the dual role of renewable energy as both an economic and environmental driver within the broader context of sustainable growth strategies.

    Keywords

    References

    1. 1. Eren, B.M.; Taspinar, N.; Gokmenoglu, K.K. The impact of financial development and economic growth on renewable energy consumption: Empirical analysis of India. Sci. Total Environ. 2019, 663, 189–197. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.323
    2. 2. Nassar, Y.F.; El-Khozondar, H.J.; Salem, M.A.; et al. Technical and environmental cost-benefit analysis of strategies towards a green economy in the electricity sector in Libya. Econ. Policy Energy Environ. 2025, 2, 133–167. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3280/EFE2025-002007
    3. 3. Khan, K.A.; Anjum, A.; Subhan, M.; et al. Evaluating the disaggregated impact of renewable and non-renewable electricity generation on economic welfare in India. Sci. Rep. 2025, 15, 26725. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-11316-z
    4. 4. International Energy Agency (IEA). India Energy Outlook; IEA: Paris, France, 2023. Available online: https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2023
    5. 5. World Bank. World Development Indicators; World Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 2024. Available online: https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
    6. 6. Shameem, M.P.; Villanthenkodath, M.A.; Chittedi, K.R. Economic growth and sectoral level electricity consumption nexus in India: New evidence from cointegration and frequency domain causality approaches. Int. J. Sustain. Energy 2022, 41, 1721–1738. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14786451.2022.2095386
    7. 7. Kaur, M. Exploring the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in India: Insights from bivariate and multivariate analyses. Res. Rev. Int. J. Multidiscip. 2025, 10.
    8. 8. Ozturk, I. A literature survey on energy–growth nexus. Energy Policy 2010, 38, 340–349. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.09.024
    9. 9. Bhuiyan, M.A.H.; Zhang, Q.; Khare, V.; et al. Renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus: A systematic literature review. Front. Environ. Sci. 2022, 10, 878394. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.878394
    10. 10. Wang, Q.; Zhang, F.; Li, R. Revisiting the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in 208 countries: The roles of trade openness, human capital, renewable energy and natural resource rent. Environ. Res. 2023, 216, 114637. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2022.114637
    11. 11. Niu, S.; Ding, Y.; Niu, Y.; et al. Economic growth, energy conservation and emissions reduction: A comparative analysis based on panel data for 8 Asian-Pacific countries. Energy Policy 2011, 39, 2121–2131. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.003
    12. 12. Eyuboglu, K.; Uzar, U. Asymmetric causality between renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Fresh evidence from some emerging countries. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res. 2022, 29, 21899–21911. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17472-9
    13. 13. Nawaz, M.; Khan, Z.U.; Iqbal, M.A.; et al. Impact of Energy Consumption and Economic Growth on Environmental Degradation: Evidence from South Asian Countries. J. Asian Dev. Stud. 2025, 14, 320–334. DOI: https://doi.org/10.62345/jads.2025.14.1.24
    14. 14. Apergis, N.; Payne, J.E. Renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of OECD countries. Energy Policy 2010, 38, 656–660. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.09.002
    15. 15. Bhattacharya, M.; Paramati, S.R.; Ozturk, I.; et al. The effect of renewable energy consumption on economic growth: Evidence from top 38 countries. Appl. Energy 2016, 162, 733–741. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.10.104
    16. 16. Sinha, S.; Chandel, S.S. Review of software tools for hybrid renewable energy systems. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 2014, 32, 192–205. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.01.035
    17. 17. Al-Maghalseh, M. The Environmental Impact and Societal Conditions of PV Power Plants: A Case Study of Jericho Gate-Palestine Stat Of. Wadi Alshatti Univ. J. Pure Appl. Sci. 2025, 3, 16–31. DOI: https://doi.org/10.63318/waujpasv3i2_03
    18. 18. Amhimmid, M.; El-Osta, W.A.; Nassar, Y.F.; et al. Financial Modeling of Social and Environmental Impacts of Wind Farm in Urban Zones: A Case Study of Zawia-Libya. Int. J. Energy Environ. Eng. 2024, 15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.57647/ijeee.2024.1504.17
    19. 19. Qadir, Z.; Khan, S.I.; Khalaji, E.; et al. Predicting the energy output of hybrid PV–wind renewable energy system using feature selection technique for smart grids. Energy Rep. 2021, 7, 8465–8475. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2021.01.018
    20. 20. Benghanem, M.; Mellit, A.; Almohamadi, H.; et al. Hydrogen production methods based on solar and wind energy: A review. Energies 2023, 16, 757. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en16020757
    21. 21. Sadorsky, P. Renewable energy consumption and income in emerging economies. Energy Policy 2009, 37, 4021–4028. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.05.003
    22. 22. Rahman, M.M.; Sultana, N. Impacts of institutional quality, economic growth, and exports on renewable energy consumption: Emerging countries perspective. Renew. Energy 2022, 189, 938–951. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.03.034
    23. 23. Chen, C.; Pinar, M.; Stengos, T. Renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from a threshold model. Energy Policy 2020, 139, 111295. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111295
    24. 24. Maarof, M.A.; Ahmed, D.H.; Samour, A. Fiscal Policy, Oil Price, Foreign Direct Investment, and Renewable Energy—A Path to Sustainable Development in South Africa. Sustainability 2023, 15, 9500. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su15129500
    25. 25. Nassar, Y.F.; El-Khozondar, H.J.; Salem, M.A.;et al. Estimation of CO₂ emission within Libya's electricity generation sector. Next Res. 2025, 2, 100567. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexres.2025.100567
    26. 26. Bajpai, P.; Dash, V. Hybrid renewable energy systems for power generation in standalone applications: A review. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 2012, 16, 2926–2939. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.02.009
    27. 27. Hernández-Moro, J.; Martinez-Duart, J.M. Analytical model for solar PV and CSP electricity costs: Present LCOE values and their future evolution. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 2013, 20, 119–132. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.11.082
    28. 28. Nordhaus, W.D. Revisiting the social cost of carbon. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 2017, 114, 1518–1523. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1609244114
    29. 29. Laleman, R.; Albrecht, J.; Dewulf, J. Life Cycle Analysis to estimate the environmental impact of residential photovoltaic systems in regions with a low solar irradiation. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 2011, 15, 267–281. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2010.09.025
    30. 30. Pesaran, M.H.; Shin, Y.; Smith, R.J. Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J. Appl. Econom. 2001, 16, 289–326. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
    ×